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Blog - lipanj 2011
utorak, lipanj 28, 2011

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jovanov @ 13:59 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
nedjelja, lipanj 26, 2011

It might seems a little bit crazy to bet on River to cover -1 after all that has happened,but I still believe that the team with 33 titles and a history that dates back 110 years ago,will find the power to bounce back.River Plate won a record tally of 33 championships and never played in the second division in their history of 110 years, but now are on a brink of a humiliating relegation after 3 disastrous seasons (in Argentina the relegation is decided after the average in the last three seasons). The Argentine giants have lost the first leg, 0-2, and their defeat caused huge protests from furious fans. They interrupted the match for 20 minutes and continued the protests the next day and they delivered a clear message for the players: win or die.

First the bad news.A group of River fans came on the pitch in Cordoba when River was 2-0 down to express their frustration about the teams poor effort,and the match was interrupted for about 20 minutes.After the match ended there were reports of River fans attacking some board members of River and also the players had police escort to the airport to prevent any problems.And the worst news is that River might play in front of an empty stadium at home if the football federation decide so.So much chaos and emotions are involved here,but as I said,River will bounce back.Modest side Belgrano are just 90 minutes away from a big performance and also a huge surprise, as they defeated mighty River Plate and now they are in pole-position for a place in the first division. Belgrano went ahead with a penalty converted by Mansanelli and doubled their advantage after a corner kick, 5 minutes into the second half. They also have a big advantage, as River can`t count on 3 suspended players: Captain Almeyda, Roman and defender Paulo Ferrari, as they have accumulated 5 yellow cards.

The match in Cordoba was no different than the most of the matches that River played in the Clausura.Poor performance,especialy in the offensive area.They had some good chances,but Belgrano's keeper was amazing and stoped River from scoring a goal.To be honest,River seemed better here than some matches in the Clausura,as they introduced some younger player that replaced Leandro and Pavone.It was good choice as that helped River to speed up the pace and compete with Belgrano.One of the odler players,Almeyda,the captain,was on pitch and he was soild,but his lack of energy on some occasions was a big problem for River.Overall Belgrano was the better side,as they have used their chances and they were soild in the defence.
Almeyda,Ferrari and Roman are all suspened,so more bad news for them.Still some of the younger players of River showed that they can do a better job than the more experienced ones.Ofcourse,Almeyda will be missed,but it all might works out good as the team might lose on experience,they will gain in energy,and energy is needed when you need to cover 2 goals.River`s relegation is just unthinkable for their fanatic fans, so a sold-out Monumental stadium (50.000 seats) is expected. The fans demanded more effort from the players, and this team clearly has the potential to overturn the fate of the play-off. River will survive with an aggregate draw as the result favours first division sides, so with 50.000 behind them and the talent of Erik Lamela, I expect them to deliver against a side that haven`t played in the first division since the 2001/02 season.

The good news for River are few,but they are important.The rules in the playout/playoff are that if there is an agregate draw,the first division side wins the playout/playoff.And also,in my opinion I don't think that the football federation will risk with a decision of no fans in the stadium,as River is an influential club and also the federation will do their best to keep ,the probably best argentinian club ever,in the first division.So after the the emotions from the first match cools off,there will be 50 000 fans in Monumental stadium that will support their club.Yes,the fans are mad now,but they are loyal to their club and will be there for the club as long as there is hope.If,River fails,than anything is possible.

I will try with - 1 handicap,as I believe in River,but also if River doesn't cover the handicap,I am sure that they will at least win this match,no doubt about it.Worst case scenario,River to win by one goal and we get our money back.


Pick: 1 AH ( -1 )
Odds: 2.10
Stake: 9/10
FT: - : -


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jovanov @ 15:45 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
petak, lipanj 24, 2011

First of all Derry City shouldn`t have much problems against struggling UC Dublin.UCD is definitely one of the weakest teams in Irish Airtricity League while Derry City is one of the few candidates to win Irish championship.
Derry City owns currently the third place with five points behind the first place. They have to win those matches against teams ofthe bottom of the table like UC Dublin.
The home team was desastrous in their last matches, as they conceeded 13 goals in their last three matches and own a record of 0-0-6 in their last six with a score sheet of 3-19 overall during that span. UC Dublin is currently on the 8th place with only 14 points and a score of 15:42 overall.

The hosts UCD suffered another defeat in the last round against their closest rivals, Drogheda. That was their seventh defeat in a row with their last two victories coming at the begining of May against the worst teams in the league, Galway and above mentioned Drogheda. They are holding 8th place with 14 points from 19 games with a 4-2-13 record and GD of 15-42.
Derry City, on the other hand, has played well this season. In 2009. they were relegated to the second league. But by the end of the October 2010 Derry won the First Division title and promotion back to the Premier Division. The Candystripes are in third place with 34 points, 9-7-3 record and 36-13 GD.

n last four games UCD played we have seen over 3.5 goals, so it's obvious they are having problems in defence. I expect them to score at least once and at the same time I expect Derry to win. So, over 2.5 goals @1.86 looks nice.

UCD will be hoping to avoid a repeat of the result when they last met Derry City.
The Candystripes cruised to a 7-0 victory at the Brandywell last month with striker Eamon Zayed banging in a hat-trick.
Derry are hot on the heels of the top two but have been hampered by too many draws this season.
UCD are a difficult proposition at home and they have already beaten Sligo in Belfield, so that should be a warning to Derry that they should be at their best.
Derry have to plan without Barry Molloy (ankle) and James McClean (tonsillitis).
The home side are locked in a relegation scrap with Drogheda United after losing in Louth on Tuesday night.
Russell will have an almost full squad to choose from, with Robbie Creevy (leg) the only absentee for UCD

 

Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 1.90
Stake: 9/10
FT: 2: 2


jovanov @ 11:32 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
četvrtak, lipanj 23, 2011

Marcos Baghdatis was close to lose the match on first round against James Blake and I think he will manage to win today against Andreas Seppi.


It's clear that the Cypriot is not having a good game at this moment but will step up his game for this match but I expect the Italian to have more chances to win.Out of almost nowhere, Seppi is catching fire on what should be his worst surface. The Italian owns arguably the worst serve of anyone inside the Top 100 of the ATP rankings, yet he won the Eastbourne title last week and now finds himself in the Wimbledon second round. Of course, it helped that Janko Tipsarevic suffered an injury in the Eastbourne final and that Seppi got to play a clay-courter in Albert Montanes on Tuesday.
Seppi holds a better morale and with the win from Eastbourne under his belt the Italian player seems to be very determined to have another good tournament.


At some point, all of this tennis could catch up to Seppi. Baghdatis, who has not been in great form, should be the beneficiary. The Cypriot was nowhere near dominant in the opening round, but he did well to battle past James Blake in five sets. Simply based on the surface advantage, look for the 2006 Wimbledon semifinalist to advance.

Pick: Baghdatis
Odds: 1.90
Stake: 7/10
FT: 3: 0


jovanov @ 12:48 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
srijeda, lipanj 22, 2011

Huracan has played 18 Argentina Primera matches this season on Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco. On home ground Huracan has won 5, drawn 7 and lost 6 matches. This ranks the Quemeros (The Burners) 17th in home team performance in the Argentina Primera.Gimnasia La Plata has played 19 Argentina Primera matches this season away from home. On away ground Gimnasia La Plata has won 1, drawn 9 and lost 9 matches. This ranks El Lobo (The Wolf) 19th in away team performance in the Argentina Primera.

Huracan has one last chance to avoid the relegation , but first they need to win Gimnasia in La Bobonera in just one match and the winner will go to the playout . The looser will go straight to the second division . Huracan could be already relegated , but Boca`s late goal against Gimnasia and the 2-2 brought the two clubs equal . Huracan is in so poor condition . We can see that just from their last game , when they lost 1-5 against Independiente against a motiveless team while they could be safe if they had won ! Also a look in their last six games shows that they have one won and five lost games , with the embarrassing goal record of 4-18 ! That means in their last six , they concede 3 goals per game ... Their first regular goalkeeper is suspended , while there is one more missing player from the club`s defencive line . The central defender Quiroga and that`s also a big absence .

 Gimnasia was celebrating their qualification to the playout , but the late goal in the 93rd minute against Boca and the final 2-2 sends them to something like a pro playout in one match against Huracan . They are in good condition lately with several nice performances and only two lost games in their last six . Some highlights are the away draw 2-2 against Godoy , the home win against Banfield and the 2-2 against Boca , while in all the three games they could also win . Now they have to win Huracan to safe their future and they look capable of that . There are no extra missing players as it looks like and there are only a couple of missing for a long time and the club learned to play without them . Gimnasia is by far the best club here and to be honest every club from the league is much better than Huracan`s .

 There will be a very close game , as fear will make both teams play very defencive , there will be many arguments and there will be a very physical game , but i believe that Gimnasia will make it here and win in the 90 minutes . But it`s like a final and the risk for predictions is always bigger when we talk about situations like this one . I choose to bet on the ebst team from the two , which is also in much better condition than their rivals but my stake will not be very high .

Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 2.20
Stake: 10/10
FT: 0 : 2

jovanov @ 14:45 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
utorak, lipanj 21, 2011

Indian tennis player Somdev Devvarman will have a chance to feel what is like to play in the first round of Wimbledon for the first time in his career as he hasn’t managed to pass the qualifiers so far in the past. This time, Devvarman played a few matches before Wimbledon on grass and entered decent rhythm, among which participating in Eastbourne where he reached the best of 16. Devvarman so far hasn’t had any special results on grass, but considering that his career has been going upwards in the past year or so, it’s worth expecting him to show a better performance, and Wimbledon is the perfect tournament for that.

Denis Gremelmayr is one of the players who hasn’t recorded anything more significant despite quite a long career. He never passed further than the 1st round at Wimbledon. He is mostly playing at challengers, and it can be said he lacks quality and feeling for the game, especially lately. Even the fact he is left-handed doesn’t help him use that in his advantage and to surprise the opponent, not being too precise and making UEs often. Currently he is 101th in the world, and I don’t see a chance for him to improve that ranking much in the future.

Devvarman is a lot more quality and physically better prepared player here, even though he isn’t too offensive kind of a guy and relies on his physical shape playing from the baseline, but I think such a game will be good enough to defeat the German in this match, the first one between two of them in their careers. Devvarman, despite playing mediocre, is still more quality player of the two, and the fact he can put up a good resistance to the top players recently is also something going in his favor in this matchup.

 

Pick: 1
Odds: 1.70
Stake: 8/10
FT: 1: 0


jovanov @ 14:23 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
ponedjeljak, lipanj 20, 2011

The Croat always stands good chances on fast surfaces, especially cause of his serve. He is even more efficient on grass, as far as the service is gone, but he moves a bit worse and can slip due to his height. The surface isn’t too convenient for him since the balls don’t bounce too high, so he needs to bend his knees a lot. Currently he is 143th player in the world but can give a hard time to anyone, and even win. The age caught up so the singles are getting too hard for him now. He is probably thinking about permanently switching to doubles, or ending his career slowly.
He is almost devastated after losing yet another finals. He was once the second junior in the world, but currently still with no title, being very close on a few occasions. Yesterday he played two matches in Eastbourne and later that night he ended the match by getting injured and retiring in the last game, totally crushed in the emotional sense. Janko believed that the match had to be stopped a lot earlier, at the end of the 2nd set, but the umpire didn’t want to hear about that at all. At the end, Janko even got injured badly, and lost yet another finals.

The most probable scenario here will be W/O. However, it’s a thigh muscle and Janko looked quite bad the other day. Even if he recovered a little, there is the tiredness factor. He had to play two matches in the same day. Then, he suffered a mental breakdown as well. He probably won’t feel like playing tennis tomorrow. And he will face the guy who can take every set into a tie break. It will be very psychologically exhausting to have to defend Karlovic’s serves the entire time. There is no doubt here. A lot of bookies count the bet if only 1 ball has been played. So, this one is worth betting on as the most realistic scenario is the retirement. If Janko even enters the court, it will be just so he can pay respect to the greatness of this Grand Slam. Even if he was completely healthy, he’d hardly be playing against Karlovic, not to mention this kind of a situation.

  

Pick: 1
Odds: 1.75
Stake: 9/10
FT: 1: 0

jovanov @ 14:55 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
nedjelja, lipanj 19, 2011

The defending champions will host the league leaders in a very important match,especialy for the home side.After the win at Aalesund,Rosenborg needs the win here in order to finaly start After a great last season,Rosenborg is struggling in this one.They are currently 12th with 12 pointsprobably the worst position in their recent history.Their record is 3-3-4 and GD 17:16.Although they lost just one in the last five matches,they can't be happy with the recent record.Two draws,a two wins and a defeat is not good enough for this team.One good news for them is that the attack is working well and they started to score goals,but the main problem remains the defence.But Lago is going to be back for this match,so Larsen can have a great partner in the defence.Jamtfall and Goa are both out for this match.Rosenborg will come into the match with a lot of confidence after the win at Aalesund and they will want to build upon that result.A win vs the leaders is a great way for the team to get back on the right track.

 Rosenborg started the championship in Norway at worst possible way. They were even worse, but the Thursday`s victory over Aalesund little improve the things. Now Rosenborg is in mini series of three games without defeats, but two of them ended with draws, 3:3 with Odd Grenland and 1:1 with Start. For this game coach Jan Jönsson will be without two, probably four players. Boti Goa and Michael Kleppe Jamtfall are definitely out with knee injuries, while Jon Inge Hoiland and Alejandro Lago are doubtful. The absence of two strikers are surely big problem for the coach.

Tromso started the season in great way. Coach Per Mathias Högmo is doing an excellent job and his team is currently on the top of the Tippeligaen. It is clear Tromso have the necessary quality and I am sure they will be competitive until the end. For this game coach have almost all players available which is a positive signal. I am saying almost as the defender Ludvig Rinde is doubtful. But I don`t think this is gonna be big problem for Tromso.

I expect a tight battle at Nye Lerkendal Stadion in Trondheim. Rosenborg will try to win, but Tromso is not a bad team. The guest`s players are full with confidence after the good results. Just three days earlier Tromso won 1:0 against Lillestrom. I am expecting Tromso will try to stay unbeaten here. It is true they are in better form, but Rosenborg is Rosenborg. They are the best team in Norway, the players are very experienced, but they are also good. So, that is why I am thinking Tromso will defend here. They will try to stay unbeaten. A point from this game will be very important. In situation like this I expect a low efficient match.



 Pick: 2-3 Goals
Odds: 2.10
Stake: 6/10
FT: 3:1


jovanov @ 10:51 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
subota, lipanj 18, 2011
This visit at Rostov-on-Don seems a perfect moment for Rubin Kazan to win away from home after 5 unsuccessful attempts, so my bet is on the visitors in this clash.FK Rostov (currently on 13th position in the standings) are visibly not in their best form recently, as they lost three of their last 5 games (1-1-3 7-11), including their last two (one of them at this stadium / 1-3 vs FK Krasnodar).In fact, it's not a big surprise, simply because FK Rostov weren't among the big favourites before the start of the season and it is obvious, that their main aim will be to keep their place in the league for the next season.What is more important here is, that the hosts will be without three key players for this clash - Roman Adamov (striker / 4 goals), Anri Khagush (defender) and Oleg Ivanov (midfielder) - and this, I think, will make the situation even worse for them.Rubin, on the other hand, sits on 5th position in the standings, 4 points behind CSKA Moscow.Alexander Gackan Aleksandr Orekhov (L) FC Rubin, Kazan battles for the ball with Alexander Gackan (C) of FC Rostov during the Russian Premier League Championship match between FC Rubin and FC Rostov at Central Stadium on June 13, 2009 in Kazan, Russia.  (Photo by Roman Hasaev/Epsilon/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** Alexander Gackan;Aleksandr OrekhovWhen looking at FC Rostov home performance in league points, FC Rostov’s performance is greatest when looking at opponents in the mid 4 with an average of 3 points per game.Against opponent such as Krasnodar FK that is currently placed in the bottom 6 of the Russian Premier League FC Rostov has managed to collect an average of 1.25 points in 4 matches this season. Concerning matches played at home against the bottom 6 this season FC Rostov has collected 1.33 points on average in 3 matches.

The visitors had some problems at the start of the season, as they were unable to start in the best possible way, but now everythind seems O.K. for them, as they remain undefeated in eight consecutive games and took points in their last 2 visits against good teams like Zenit (2-2) and Spartak Moscow (0-0).Vitali Kaleshin (defender), Aleksandr Orekhov (defender) and Carlos Eduardo (striker) are still unavailable for the visitors.Rubin won in their last 2 visits at this stadium (2-0 on 10.05.2010 and 2-1 on 25.10.2009) and considering the current form of these two teams, I think the visitors have big chances for a third straight victory.

When looking at Krasnodar FK away performance in league points, Krasnodar FK’s performance is greatest when looking at opponents in the top 6 with an average of 1 points per game.Against opponent such as FC Rostov who is currently placed in the bottom 6 of the Russian Premier League Krasnodar FK has managed to collect an average of 2.33 points in 3 matches this season. When looking at matches played away against the bottom 6 this season Krasnodar FK has collected 1 point on average in 1 match.

Pick: 2 and 3+
Odds: 2.00 and 2.20
Stake: 5/10
FT: 1 :3
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jovanov @ 14:23 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
petak, lipanj 17, 2011

Terrible season from home team , their performance is off poor standard and are not favourites tonight.From 17 matches they played they have only 8 points.From last 10 matches they lost unbelievable 8 matches.They were in bad series of results from 22.04.2011 until 20.05.2011.In that period they lost 7 matches in a row. Terrible result for a solid team.They are not that bad  of ateam.From last 3 matches they have 2 wins and maybe with good form in next matches they could stay in league.It is going to be hard but they have chances.
On other side of field we have team who fights for first place on table.They have from 17 matches 32 points and from first team on table separate them 3 points. Impressive form from St.Patric,from last 10 matches they have 3 draw matches and 7 wins.That is result from champion.St.Patricks posses great player but one player in unbelievable form this year.He is attacker and I count from him in this match 1 or 2 goals.He almost on every match score one goal-North Daniel.He play very good and if he continue like this he could be interesting for some bigger teams.
History show that these two teams play very offensive when they play one against other.From last 8 matches 5 finish over 2.5 goals.Current situation give me confidence to see here many goals because home defense is terrible and away attack is in great form.Home team is also capable to score.Great value in over 2.5 goals and I must take good odds.

Pick: 3+
Odds: 1.95
Stake: 9/10
FT: 1 : 4


jovanov @ 15:34 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
četvrtak, lipanj 16, 2011

Viking was one of the better teams in Norway Tippeligaen in recent years with good results and stable status. But this year their start in the season is awful and they are at the bottom with only 6 points from 10 rounds and only 5 scored goals against 17 received. To be worst they have lot of injured players like Sokolowski, Knarvik, Danielsen, Ingelsten and captain Nevland while Bjarnason is unavailable. Three of this players are scorers of all 5 goals for Viking.At the moment they are on the last place with just six points. . The scorers were Thomasz Sokolowski, Valon Berisha (2 goals) and Erik Nevland (also scored 2 goals). But now the situation is even worse. Viking have many absences for this match including the three mentioned players that scored goals. Tomasz Sokolowski is sidelined with injury, Valon Berisha is suspended, just as the captain Erik Nevland. Coach Age Hareide will also miss Tommy Knarvik, Andre Danielsen and Patrik Ingelsten due to injuries and Birkir Bjarnason as he is on International duty. It is clear coach hareide will have difficult time against Brann.
Bran is doing much better than their hosts and is occupying 6th place with 16 points. They also struggled with lot of injuries and suspensions, but beside that managed to win against Sogndal in their last game at home 2:0. In previous game they missed Juninho, Austin, Leciejewski,Ojo, Mezquida and captain Mjelde, but their young replacements played good and managed to win. Last three are expected to play since their best attacker Ojo served his suspension and Mezquida and Mjelde recovered from injuries.They are in the first part of the table with just three points behind the leading gro

I can see that lot are backing Brann in this game mostly because of poor form of Viking and lot of missings. But this is Norway and this kind of games are dangerous. Bran had also many missings in previous round but still take a win, since young players wanted to impress and prove they belong in first squad. Something similar can be expected from Viking reserves and who knows they can be much better than first team players which didn’t show much so far. At least i know they will be more motivated and that will be their biggest advantage today same as imperative to win their first home game this season. Not to mention that they are fighting already against relegation, which is not usual for team of Viking range, and I expect to fully exploit home field advantage which show to be big in meetings with Bran. In last 10 meetings in Stavanger they have 6 wins 3 draws and only 1 defeat from Bran with 27:10 goal difference. I’m not saying they will win this game but at least they will score goal against not that good Bran defence and same I’m expecting from Bran against even worst Viking defence.I think Brann is closer to the victory here. First of all, Viking is very handicapped. As I already wrote, Viking coach Age Hareide will miss seven important players (Tomasz Sokolowski, Valon Berisha, Erik Nevland, Tommy Knarvik, Andre Danielsen, Patrik Ingelsten and Birkir Bjarnason. I think it is too much. Brann will also miss some players, but the hosts handicap is much, much bigger. And the second reason is determined by the current for. While Brann is playing good, Viking is the worst team in Tippeligaen. They are last on the table and I am sure the atmosphere in the squad is very bad. And I am also sure the players confidence is very low at the moment. In situation like this I see Brann as favorite on this game.

Pick: 1
Odds: 2.50
Stake: 7/10
FT: 3:0


jovanov @ 14:45 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
srijeda, lipanj 15, 2011


Arguably the pick of all of the group matches in the Under 21 European Championships takes place on Wednesday afternoon as Spain take on the Czech Republic in a crucial game in Viborg on Wednesday afternoon. Czech Republic were very impressive in qualifying and laid down a real marker in this tough group when they beat Ukraine a lot easier than the 2-1 scoreline suggested on Sunday. Spain were pegged back late on by England on Sunday but looked good for the most part so this should be one of the matches of the tournament.
La Roja are favorites to win the European Under-21 Championship for a third time, but they made a wrong step on their opening game, allowing England a late equalizer. Ander Herrera opened the scoreline and it seemed that the Spanish pass and move will come as winners, but a Danny Welbeck goal only two minutes from time denied them the victory. Luis Milla`s lads play their usual attractive and spectacular football, but now they will be eager to grab the win also.Great qualifying campaign
Jakub Dovalil managed to build a very solid team which relies on the group and not on stars. The best players are Lazio `s Libor Kozák, Jan Morávek (K`lautern), Suchý (Spartak Moscow) and Mazuch (Anderlecht), but they are a class below Spain`s superstars: World-Cup winners Juan Mata and Javi Martínez, new Man Utd`s keeper David de Gea, Diego Capel (Sevilla), Thiago Alcântara, Jeffren and Bojan Krkić (Barcelona). Despite a good resistance from the Czechs, I expect Spain to reclaim the lost ground from the first match.

Czech Republic look to me like they could be the real dangers in this tournament. I thought they beat Ukraine very comfortably even despite the 2-1 scoreline. All eyes were on Tomas Pekhart but it was Borek Dockal who scored both goals in the Czech’s first match. They know that if they win this they  will be through to the knockout stages with a match to play which provides the perfect incentive for them to push for a win here.

Spain looked like a good side to me against England. They will be disappointed they didn’t put more of their chances away against England and in the end it cost them. Bojan Krcic started the first match on the bench and he could well come into the side with Jeffren not really able to get himself into the game. Juan Mata showed all his skills in the opening match and he looks the key for Spain here.

I think this will be a close match. I don’t expect either side to run away with this. Maybe the Czech’s will take a point here but Spain will be looking to win and that’s reflected in the prices. I think Czech Republic are being written off for no real reason in this one and the fact we’re getting odds against on a very capable side only highlights that. I don’t think Spain are certainty’s for this match in any way and although I accept they are the better side individually, the Czech’s are full of confidence and I think they can pick up a result in this one.

  • Pick: 1 and 3+
  • Odds: 1.80 and 2.10
  • Stake: 6/10
  • FT: - : -
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jovanov @ 16:23 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
utorak, lipanj 14, 2011

Canada started the Concacaf cup with expected loss from their neighbors and hosts of this competition USA. They lost 2:0 even they show fight and had chances especially in second half of the game. Later they won against Guadeloupe 1:0 but that was expected since Guadeloupe is weakest team in this group and also their job became easier after they had player more because of red card for Guadeloupe in 4th minute. Today they will face equal opponent to them in fight for first two spots and place in second round.

Panama is surprise of this Concacaf cup since they won against USA 2:1 in previous round and because they also won Guadeloupe in first round 3:2 are leaders in this group and already in next round. They just need to stay undefeated in this game against Canada to secure the first place and easier opponent in knock out stages. They show very good performance against USA and I expect to continue their good form with another positive result against Canada.

Panama is the team that show more in previous two rounds since they won against USA with great play but also had lead over Guadeloupe 3:0 before they relaxed and received two goals. On the other side Canada lost from USA without scoring and also they hardly won Guadeloupe from penalty even they played whole match with player more. With such impotent attack i doubt they will be able to win against Panama which defended well against USA and maximum they can take is a draw. I will back more in form team in this game but, will be cautious and cover the draw with money back option since it is good result for Panama also. Canada must play for the win since USA have easy game and will win it to secure 2nd spot and Canada has not good goal difference to enter further with 4 points as 3rd placed team. Also I doubt that Panama will let this game to Canada since in that case all 3 teams will have 6 points and all will advance, but they can loose first place and will have tougher opponent. Canada will attack and Panama show great counter attack skills against USA and will have plenty space to punish them with their faster players.

 

  • Pick: 2 ( 0 )AH
  • Odds: 2.10
  • Stake: 6/10
  • FT: 1 : 1

 

jovanov @ 19:52 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
ponedjeljak, lipanj 13, 2011

Frederikstad started the season in excellent way. They had three victories in the first four rounds and was the biggest surprise in Norway. However they was unable to continue with such results and now Frederikstad is in the middle of the table with four victories, one draw and four defeats. Coach Tom Freddy Aune is doing a good job, even the fans will always ask for more. For this game Frederikstad have some problems as two players are on Gold Cup in America with their national team. It is about Celso Borges and Cristian Gamboa, they are playing for Costa Rica.

Sarpsborg have an identical record as Frederikstad - four victories, one draw and four defeats. Coach Roar Johansen is probably satisfied with the results as the club main target this season is to escape relegation. I am sure the fans are also satisfied. For this match coach Johansen has two players out. Michael Ron is suspended (three yellow cards), while young Tobias Henanger is not fully recovered yet.

 I expect an interesting match in Frederikstad. Both teams are playing very efficiently. In the last home match Frederikstad won 3:1 against strong Valerenga. And Sarpsborg last away game was also efficient with four goals. They played 2:2 against Tromso and we must respect that result. By the way, Sarpsborg last match at home was also very, very efficient as they lost 2:4 from Lillestrom. As You can see coach Johansen like to play open. Because of that I am expecting another efficient match here.

  •  Pick: 1 and  3+
  • Odds: 1.80 & 1.80
  • Stake : 10/10
  • FT: - : -


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jovanov @ 09:15 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
subota, lipanj 11, 2011

The Argentina Primera football match between San Lorenzo (13th) and Quilmes (18th) kicks off on 11 June 2011. San Lorenzo has played 18 Argentina Primera matches this season on Estadio Pedro Bidegain. On home ground San Lorenzo has won 6, drawn 8 and lost 4 matches. This ranks the El Ciclon (The Cyclone) 12th in home team performance in the Argentina Primera.Quilmes has played 18 Argentina Primera matches this season away from home. On away ground Quilmes has won 3, drawn 6 and lost 9 matches. This ranks El Cervecero (The Brewers) 16th in away team performance in the Argentina Primera

San Lorenzo has wasted one more season , while they started with title dreams in the end they couldn`t give a continue to their good start .Now for the next year they brought the super star coach Omar Asad who will coach his new club for first time in his career . They have one loss in their last five games and they want some winnings before the end to climb in the standings. There are some quite important missings for the team. In the midfield Romagnoli , Ortigosa and the left back A.Torres .When looking at San Lorenzo home performance in league points, San Lorenzo’s performance is greatest when looking at opponents in the mid 8 with an average of 1.86 points per game.Against opponent such as Quilmes that is currently placed in the bottom 6 of the Argentina Primera San Lorenzo has managed to collect an average of 1.4 points in 10 matches this season. Concerning matches played at home against the bottom 6 this season San Lorenzo has collected 1.8 points on average in 5 matches.

Quilmes were ready to give it all and survive , but know after their last draw against Boca 2-2 they almost have no chance to remain in the league for next year.They have no bigger problems with missing player. So the midfielder striker Cerro is back and in position to help his club. But disappointment around the club is too big and I don't think they will care much about this fixture.When looking at Quilmes away performance in league points, Quilmes’s performance is greatest when looking at opponents in the bottom 6 with an average of 1 points per game.Against opponent such as San Lorenzo who is currently placed in the mid 8 of the Argentina Primera Quilmes has managed to collect an average of 0.93 points in 15 matches this season. When looking at matches played away against the mid 8 this season Quilmes has collected 0.71 points on average in 7 matches.

San Lorenzo has the new best coach and they will play to show him their abilities and hold them . I know that it`s too many times this season i lost prediction for San Lorenzo this season. But, on the other hand it is the disappointment from the Quilmes side and the fact that now it is pointless for them to keep fighting, while San Lorenzo will be dreaming once again for the title of the new season and that Asad is something like the chosen one for such a goal. I believe I can take advantage of the good faith the home players have in themselves, and I have no fear for the home win.

 

  • Pick: 1
  • Odds: 2.30
  • Stake: 6/10
  • FT: - : -
jovanov @ 18:37 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
ponedjeljak, lipanj 6, 2011

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jovanov @ 16:25 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
nedjelja, lipanj 5, 2011

This is the third match of NBA play-off finals. It will be meeting between the Dallas Mavericks and the Mimai Heat. After the Mavericks won in game 2 on the away court in Miami, the series is tied with one win each. Results so far:Miami vs. Dallas 92:84 ,Miami vs. Dallas 93:95. As you can see Miami lost that game for a very close score  , JOVANOV  predicted the score nearly with exact points which is very rare for any tipster around the world. DALLAS After two days of intense film study and painstaking analysis of the final 14 possessions in their end-of-game collapse in Game 2 of the NBA finals, the Miami Heat finally came up with the reason why.It wasn't a highly technical reason."We let one go," Dwyane Wade said in an interview.And entering Game 3 of the NBA finals, the Heat will try to let Game 2 go again. The way Miami sees it, carrying over the stigma of that loss - one of the worst late-game collapses in finals history - would only doom them again Sunday night when the scene shifts to steamy Dallas for the first of three games on the Mavericks' home floor.
Dallas rallied from 15 points down in the final 7 minutes to beat Miami in Game 2, outscoring the Heat 22-5 to finish the game and knot the series. Thanks to that win, Mavs' fans still may see another NBA championship celebration, only this time, by the Western Conference champions and not a Heat team that hoisted a trophy at Dallas after the 2006 finals.In the playoffs, it's a win or a loss. However it comes by, it's a win or a loss  Heat have moved on from Game 2, seen the mistakes they have made. Seen some of the great things Heat have done as well. It's a win or loss. The series is tied 1-1. het never get too high or too low in the series. Miami haven't gotten too high or low in the regular season as well.

Game 3 is crucial for so many obvious reasons, like the Heat wanting not to deal with another stumble and the Mavericks wanting to keep momentum rolling and retain home-court advantage. Statistically, there's proof that it's a Texas-sized swing game as well. Since the NBA went to the 2-3-2 format for the finals, teams have now split the first two games 12 times. In the previous 11, the winner of Game 3 has always gone on to win the championship.Big whoop, both teams said in response to that one.Dallas are  not good enough to just relax , Dirk Nowitzki  led Dallas' late game charge in Game 2 at Miami and will tempt the same thing tonight . Dallas need sto play with an edge at all times in every game. So hopefully (Sunday), with the crowd behind the, they are hoping  to have a great game. 

In an interview Heat coach Erik Spoelstra was more succinct."I think both teams have bucked a lot of those numbers and odds up to this point already," he said. "We're a non-traditional team."Maybe that's one of the reasons why the Heat were so loose Saturday.Players arrived at the arena around noon, most with headphones on as they walked off the bus, bobbing heads in time with the music and nodding to people as they walked by. James and Wade were chatting and laughing, a few players checked out the turf that would host an Arena Football League game later Saturday night and some stretched their arms to tap the goalposts as they walked across the floor where a basketball court will be Sunday.l

The mood couldn't have been more different from when they walked off the floor in Miami on Thursday, stunned by what just happened."We're coming home, but we know that's no guarantee of anything," Mavericks coach Rick Carlisle said. "We've lost at home this year in the playoffs. Now Miami has as well. The venue has significance, but it never guarantees anyone anything. ... The mistake that we're not going to make is feel like coming home is going to be something that helps get us over the hump. It's not going to be like that. Both these teams are too good of road teams."Including the playoffs, the Mavericks have won 34 road games this season, tops in the NBA. Miami ranks second with 32.The Heat also haven't lost consecutive games since early March, winning after all six of their most recent losses by an average of 11.7 points. And in their last 24 games away from home, they're 17-7.All good signs for Miami now, given that if it doesn't win one of the next three in Dallas, the season will end here."We've been a pretty resilient bunch all year," Heat forward Udonis Haslem said. "We've bounced back every time we've been knocked down. I'm expecting the same thing with this situation."There's stats the Mavs can point to as ones they like as well, including one that seems particularly significant: Miami rarely wins in Dallas, period.Dallas has won 12 of the last 14 meetings between the teams at home, six of those coming in single-digit games. Of course, one of those two exceptions was the last time the Mavericks hosted a finals game, June 20, 2006, when Jason Terry missed a potentially game-tying 3-pointer, Wade got the rebound, threw the ball skyward as time expired and Miami prevailed 95-92."We're looking at Game 3. That's the only thing on our mind right now," Terry said. "We're at home. What does that mean? It means our building is going to be crazy. We're going to play with a lot of energy. Some of those shots we're missing better go down. That's what home court is all about."The series is even.So, too, was the level of confidence both sides were showing Saturday.Come late Sunday night, neither of those statements will keep ringing true."I know I'm excited for the game tomorrow," James said before Miami's workout session on Saturday. "It hurt. We had time to let it hurt us as much as it could yesterday after the game. But today is a new day. And we're back and focused. We're a confident bunch. Me personally, I'm looking forward to the challenge. It's going to be fun."But what we surely can expect is to see much more scoring in these games than was the case in Miami. The line went up only for 1.5 points from the line we had in games played in Miami. I expected line to be set above 190 points. And in my opinion it will be after first game in Dallas. I think predicting the winner in NBA Finals is something that no professional tipster can do , you can gues on luck but not on professionalism. All teams are great all are great players , you just can't choose one , you can follow the odds but thats not enough. I think Miami will win , Personally I am a Miami Heat Fan more than  Dallas so I'd like to go for miami and an over all result

  • Pick: Over 188.5  and Miami
  • Odds: 2.10  & 2.30
  • Stake: 7/10 / 5/10
  • FT: 86 : 88

 


jovanov @ 18:11 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0

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jovanov @ 16:47 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
subota, lipanj 4, 2011

Looking at the Selecao, this game looks nothing like a friendly one. Mano Menezes called what is probably the best squad he could find at the moment. And as a proof that he means business, he will start the game with three forwards.This match will be played in South America ( Estádio Serra Dourada in Goiânia) and this will be long trip for Netherlands national team, which could take effect on their game.Netherlands will play against Brazil and Uruguay in South America as a part of their arrangement for Coppa America 2011.Not just home field advantage is on Brazilian side. Netherlands have lot of problems with injuries and their squad will not be like one won second place at FIFA World Cup. 

Holland will miss out key players such as Wesley Sneijder, Mark van Bommel, Rafael van der Vaart, and also Maarten Stekelenburg, Theo Janssen, Jeremain Lens, Michel Vorm and Demy de Zeeuw, but the squad still looks good and with plenty of firepower, with the likes of Robben, Afellay, Kuyt and Van Persie. Also, van Marwijk`s side are on an impressive unbeaten run, as the last defeat was back on September 2008 in a friendly against Australia.

The Selecao prepares for Coppa America with a nice friendly against Holland, also a good chance for Brazil to take revenge for the quarter-finals of the 2010 World Cup defeat against the Netherlands. The game will be held on Estádio Serra Dourada at Goiânia in front of full stadium (50.000 fans in the stands). Brazil`s probable lineup: Julio César, Daniel Alves, Lúcio, Thiago Silva, André Santos, Lucas Leiva, Ramires, Elano, Robinho, Neymar, Fred, so we can expect an attacking home side.I expect a nice, offensive game, between two positive sides that love to attack, but are vulnerable on defense. Home side will miss Pato but will count on their new star, Neymar or Robinho to do the job .Both sides poses great attacking players who could score, while the lack of stake makes me think they won`t be very concerned about the defenses. Brazil is favourite, considering the 50.000 fans and the revenge desire, but Holland are always dangerous in attack and could cause troubles. I expect an open game, with both sides scoring.

  • Pick:  Home  AH ( - 1 )
  • Odds: 2.40
  • Stake: 6/10

 

  • Pick:  Home
  • Odds: 2.00
  • Stake: 8/10

 

  • Pick: 3+
  • Odds: 2.00
  • Stake: 6/10
  • FT:  - : - 
jovanov @ 15:11 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
petak, lipanj 3, 2011

Belarus have earned a shocking win in the opening EURO 2012 qualifying game at the Stade de France on 03.09 thanks to a late goal by Sergei Kislyak, but a repeat performance will be a very difficult task, considering hosts` selection problems: Molosh, Kulchiy and Kornilenko are suspended, while Aleksandr Hleb, Kutuzov, Krivets, Rodionov and Amelchenko got injured. Belarus currently sits on second position, 4 points clear of France, so a positive result against the group leaders will leave them in a good position for the runners-up spot.However things have changed since than.Possible starting line up: Zhevnov; Shitov, Martynovich, Verkhovtsov, Amelyanchuk; Kalachow, Tigarev, Putsila, Kryvets; Varankow, V. Hleb. Belarus is having big problems with injuries and suspension ahead of this important match. The three best players are sidelined due to injuries. Aleksander Hleb, Vitaly Kutuzov and Vitaly Rodionov are all out due to injuries. But that`s not all as three more players are suspended. It`s about Sergei Kornilenko, Dmitry Malosh and Alexander Kulchiy. It is clear the hosts will be very handicapped against one of the best national teams in Europe.

Laurent Blanc has managed to make France to display one more time a convincing game and I doubt Belarus will take something from this match.France is currently on 1st place (with four wins and one loss) with 4 points more then Belarus and Albania and with this win they might seal their qualification for Euro 2012.France have started with a missed step their EURO 2012 qualifying campaign, but since then they gone from strength to strength, winning the following 4 games without conceding. Possible starting line up: Lloris; Sagna, Sakho, Rami, Evra; M`Vila; Matuidi, Nasri; Ribery, Malouda; Benzema. France is in excellent form. France have won on the last four qualification games against Luxemburg (home and away), Romania and Bosnia and Herzegovina. The coach Laurent Blanc is doing good job and it is clear he can control the players. For this match Blanc has no problems and his main players like Ribery, Benzema and Malouda are ready.Mexès misses out through injury, so either PSG`s Sakho or Kaboul will pair Adil Rami in the center of the defence. Gourcuff is absent while Loïc Rémy is doubtful. Probable line-up: Lloris; Sagna, Rami, Sakho (or Kaboul), Abidal; Diarra, Diaby; Malouda, Nasri, Ribéry; Benzema.

France will most probably win the group without ease, but coach Blanc insisted that the players must stay focused and the revenge for the reverse game is a strong enough motivation. Belarus have surprised Les Bleus once, but this time, their chances for another shock have been damaged by the absence of eight first-team regulars. Belarus have failed to score in 2 out of their 4 matches, while France have not conceded in the last 4, so I expect France to win without conceding.I expect a hard battle on this match. Belarus is very handicapped as six players are sidelined for different reasons (Sergei Kornilenko, Dmitry Malosh, Alexander Kulchiy, Aleksander Hleb, Vitaly Kutuzov and Vitaly Rodionov). It is clear Belarus will defend and try to remain unbeaten, even they are playing at home. On other side France will try to win, no doubt about that. But don`t forget France was beaten from Belarus in Paris. Belarus made one of the biggest surprises winning 1:0 in Paris on 03.09.2010. I am sure they didn`t forget that. Considering all facts, I think we will see a low efficient match.

  • Pick: Away -1
  • Odds: 2.10
  • Stake: 5/10
  • FT : 1 : 1
jovanov @ 19:13 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
četvrtak, lipanj 2, 2011

This is second match of NBA play-off finals. It will be meeting between Miami Heat and Dallas Mavericks. At the moment hosts leads this series 1-0 after they won game 1 on this same floor, 92-84.The Miami Heat are a big favourite in this match. They won the first match 92-84 and are looking to get another victory today. With Bosh, James and Wade they have definetely better individual players then their opposite.On the other hand Dallas had a tough time in Game 1 of the series. Dirk Nowitzki did not had enough support from the bench (Stojakovic, Terry, Barea). Especially after losing the first match, they will fight very hard not to go down 0-2 in the series. I think bookies underestimated Dallas a bit and we have little value at the price of 2.90.I’ve written about this compact squad on a few occasions, even though there are as many as 3 NBA superstars on it. LBJ might be the best player in the world in the recent years. They never had an easier game in the playoffs than the one against Dallas in game 1. They’ve recorded an easy win but it should’e been by 11 as Kidd hit an unreasonable 3-point shot in the closing seconds of the game. They’ve dominated throughout the entire game, played as much as it was needed and did fantastic in defense. Everyone can play it in Miami, from the biggest star on the team to the bench players.Miami sometimes even uses 3 point guards on the floor as Wade and LBJ are also fantastic playmakers and good at assisting. Wade is that big difference maker for Miami. His contribution couldn’t be seen to the full extent against Chicago but now he is dominating as there is no quality defender who could guard him on the Dallas squad.

So much money has been invested, and so many quality and experienced players have been brought. but they can never get the ring. This might be Dirk’s last chance, and the rest of his teammates have also been unable to win it despite being close many times… The problem here is that only 3 players can play defense on this team and those are Chandler,Marion and Kidd, if he has a good day. Whenever Peja is on the floor, all he manages to do is to make a few silly fouls as he is unable to run along with the quick Miami guards. I wouldn’t be surprised if he even manages to foul Ilgauskas, who doesn’t even play at all.
Dirk Nowitzki play unbelievable basketball(In game 1 he was again on top level,he was only on Champions level,he scored 27 points and he show to Miami big 3 that he think serious-he want NBA ring,and I think he will achieve that this year).He is like vine,older - better.Plus rest of team-every position is cover with great players as Kidd(he assist on his level- 6 assists,but his shoot was under every level,9 points for 37 minutes),Marion(he played good match,he scored 17 points plus 10 rebounds),Chandler(under his possibilities-9 points,only 4 rebounds),Haywood,Stevenson(solid match,should play more in this match but that is coach decision),(Terry,yes he score 12 points,but he "sold" to many balls)Barea(disaster,he shoot 8 times and he score only once),Stojakovic(Stojakovic played disastrous match,he didn't score-he played 15 minutes) - especially Serbian who play his 20 minutes per game and he score some important points especially three points.One of best shooters that this game have.Rick Carlisle(made some mistakes in match one,he should give more chances to Haywood and Stevenson,maybe Stojakovic should be on court some minute more,but that is past,he need to focus on next games and I think he will bring Dallas epic triumph at the end is taking from every player maximum.They play and they fight as a team.Generally for me Dallas posses better team.
Miami has got to win thisThis series is played in a 2-3-2 system. If Dallas breaks Miami tonight, they’ll have a chance to win the title at home. But again, if they don’t manage to do that, Miami will have an open path to the title and it rarely happened that one side wins all 3 consecutive games at home. Astonishing fact is that Dallas had 10 consecutive wins against the Heat prior to the loss in game 1. Miami is a big favorite and I expect them to win this one convincingly.

  • Pick :  181 to 190 Points Regular Time
  • Odds: 3.70
  • Stake: 8/10
  • FT :   93 : 95
    WHO IS THE KING ?????????? 

 

  • Pick : Miami To Score 1st 10 Points 
  • Odds : 1.90
  • Stake: 6/10
  • FT:  12 : 6 
jovanov @ 21:49 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
srijeda, lipanj 1, 2011


If we’d be looking at the rosters, money invested and the transfers that shocked everybody, we’d think that the Piraeus side is a gianwint and this is an easy . But it’s not really like that. Their trophy case is more than poor for quiet some time now. They have a fantastic coach this season, Dusan Ivkovic. They’ve ‘slapped’ the face of their rival, PAO, by bringing Spanoulis from their squad. But, something is missing, just like all these years. It somehow seemed that all these years they’ve missed someone of authority and firm attitude. Everyone though that the return of ‘Duda’ would be the right move but it didn’t really turn out that way. They’ve looked better than in the previous years, but still not good enough.They`re the ones to blame for the boredom in European basketball. They’ve won 6 European titles, and are an 8-time consecutive Greek league champion. Zeljko Obradovic is a true ‘institution’, which has always been missing for Olympiacos during all these years. They look solid as a rock, the discipline in their game is always at the highest level, they are never spectacular but always dominant. They’re a real symbol of European basketball.This is Greek basketball play-off, game 3 in final series.At the moment Panathinaikos leads 2-0 and for new championship title they need only one more win.Previous results:
Game 1: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos Athens 70:75
Game 2: Panathinaikos Athens vs Olympiakos Piraeus 78-66


So, although they were the best team in the regular season and although they beat Panathinaikos in both regular season games as well in recent Cup finals, Olympiakos lost advantage of home court in this play-off finals. And now they have mission impossible, if they want to win championship, they will have to win three games in a row for very short period of time.
PAO is leading 2:0 and as badly as they might want to celebrate the title in front of their fans, they can’t fool around too much and have to finish the job today. As, Olympiacos has a home court advantage and the game 4 would be very dangerous for "the Greens".The score in the first game was 70:75 in PAO’s favor, on a ‘hostile’ court. In the 2nd game they won with ease, even though as many as 4 starters in Oly’s squad scored in double digits. However, Teodosic scored only 2 points and also managed to throw a bottle at a fan in the stands so he will most probably have a fine for this clash. Olympiacos is mentally falling apart just like during all previous years. Can Duda heal their wounds on such a short notice? I think not. Will anyone from the bench contribute with a big game? Papaloukas maybe? Think not. It all indicates PAO will play yet another slow game and win yet another title in a routine manner.



  • Pick:  1st Quarter Total Over 36.5  + Seperately Tip 1
  • Odds: 2.00 and 1.60
  • Stake: 7/10
  • FT:  1st Quarter 43 Points WIN 
    Olympiacos WON
    DOUBLE PREDICTION AGAIN BY JOVANOV ;) 
jovanov @ 13:07 |Isključeno | Komentari: 0
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